Wednesday, May 22, 2013
How to pick a sweet honeydew melon
Brush your hand gently over a honeydew melon. Don't buy it unless it is covered with tiny hairs - the fuzzier, the sweeter.
To easily convert from kilos to pounds
To easily convert from kilos to pounds, double it and then add ten percent.
Example,
1) 73kg x 2 = 146
146 + 14.6 = 160.6 lbs
2) 45kg x 2 = 90
90 + 9 = 99 lbs
Example,
1) 73kg x 2 = 146
146 + 14.6 = 160.6 lbs
2) 45kg x 2 = 90
90 + 9 = 99 lbs
How to tell if you are about to buy a juicy orange or grapefruit, no matter what the skin looks like:
- Pick up the orange or grapefruit. If it feels light, it's not juicy and will taste rather woody.
- Go through the bin picking the ones that feel heaviest compared to oranges or grapefruits of a similar size. They'll be the tastiest ones.
Sunday, May 19, 2013
How Porsche Hacked the Financial System & Made a Killing
In 1931, Austro-Hungarian engineer Ferdinand Porsche started a German
company in his own name. It offered car design consulting services, and
was not a car manufacturer itself until it produced the Type 64 in 1939. But things got interesting for Porsche long before then.
In 1933, he was approached by none other than Adolf Hitler, who commissioned a car designed for the German masses. Porsche accepted, and the result was the iconic Beetle, manufactured under the Volkswagen (lit. “people’s car”) brand. Today, Porsche’s company is one of the world’s premier luxury car brands, while Volkswagen (VW) is itself the world’s third-largest auto maker after General Motors and Toyota.
Three years ago, Volkswagen found itself fearing a foreign takeover. Porsche, the company, decided to step in and start buying VW stock ostensibly to protect the landmark brand, widely fueling market expectations that it would eventually buy Volkswagen outright. Of course, this isn’t quite what came to pass.
For three years, Porsche kept accumulating VW stock without telling anyone how much it owned. Every time it purchased more, the amount of free-floating VW stock would decrease, driving the stock price up slightly; your basic supply and demand at work. Eventually the share price became high enough that, to outside observers, it wouldn’t have made any sense for Porsche to buy Volkswagen. It would simply have cost too much.
To explain what happened next, I’m going to first tell you about a financial maneuver called shorting.
Porsche anticipated exactly this situation and promptly bought up much of these borrowed VW shares that the funds were selling. Do you see where this is going? Analysts did. According to The Economist, Adam Jonas from Morgan Stanley warned clients not to play “billionaire’s poker” against Porsche. Porsche denied any foul play, saying it wasn’t doing anything unusual.
But then, last October 26th, they stepped forward and bared their portfolio: through a combination of stock and options, they owned 75% of Volkswagen, which is almost all the company’s circulating stock. (The remainder is tied up in funds that cannot easily release it.)
To put it mildly, the numbers scared the living hell out of the hedge funds: if they didn’t immediately buy back the Volkswagen stock they were shorting, there might not be any left to buy later, and it isn’t their stock — they have to return it to someone. If their only option is thus to buy the VW stock from Porsche, then the miracle of supply and demand will hit again, and Porsche can ask for whatever price it wants per VW share — twenty times their value, a hundred times their value — because there’s no other place to buy. They’re the only game in town.
On paper, Porsche made between €30-40 billion in the affair. Once all is said and done, the actual profit is closer to some €6-12 billion. To put those numbers in perspective, Porsche’s revenue for the whole year of 2006 was a bit over €7 billion.
Porsche’s move took three years of careful maneuvering. It was darkly brilliant, a wealth transfer ingeniously conceived like few we’ve ever seen. Betting the right way, Porsche roiled the financial markets and took the hedge funds for a fortune.
In 1933, he was approached by none other than Adolf Hitler, who commissioned a car designed for the German masses. Porsche accepted, and the result was the iconic Beetle, manufactured under the Volkswagen (lit. “people’s car”) brand. Today, Porsche’s company is one of the world’s premier luxury car brands, while Volkswagen (VW) is itself the world’s third-largest auto maker after General Motors and Toyota.
Three years ago, Volkswagen found itself fearing a foreign takeover. Porsche, the company, decided to step in and start buying VW stock ostensibly to protect the landmark brand, widely fueling market expectations that it would eventually buy Volkswagen outright. Of course, this isn’t quite what came to pass.
For three years, Porsche kept accumulating VW stock without telling anyone how much it owned. Every time it purchased more, the amount of free-floating VW stock would decrease, driving the stock price up slightly; your basic supply and demand at work. Eventually the share price became high enough that, to outside observers, it wouldn’t have made any sense for Porsche to buy Volkswagen. It would simply have cost too much.
To explain what happened next, I’m going to first tell you about a financial maneuver called shorting.
Shorting
At any given point, only a certain amount of a publicly traded company’s stock is floating freely in the market. The rest is held in various portfolios, funds, and investment vehicles. Now, everyone’s familiar with the basic idea behind the stock market: you buy stock when it costs little, and you sell it when it costs a lot, profiting on the difference.
But that assumes a company’s value is going to increase. What if, instead of betting a company will go up, you want to make money betting the company will go down? You can — by selling stock you don’t own.
Say you borrow a certain amount of stock from someone who already owns it. You pay a fixed fee for borrowing the stock, and you sign a contract saying you will return exactly the same amount of stock you took after some amount of time. So, you might borrow a thousand shares of Apple stock from me (I don’t actually own any, but play along), pay me $100 for the privilege, and sign an obligation to return my stock in 3 months. At the time, Apple stock is worth $10 per share.
After you borrow the stock, you immediately sell it. At $10 a share, you get $10,000. Two and a half months later, another rumor about Steve Jobs’ health sends AAPL crashing to only $6 per share for a few hours, so you buy a thousand shares, costing you $6,000. You give me back those shares. Because you successfully bet the company would go down in value, you earned $4,000 minus the borrowing fee. This is called short-selling or shorting the stock, and the downside is obvious: if your bet was wrong, you would have lost money buying back the shares that you have to return to your lender.
Where Things Get Kinky
When Volkswagen’s share price exceeded the point where it made sense for Porsche to buy the company, a number of hedge funds realized that Volkswagen shares have nowhere to go but down. With Porsche out of the picture, there was simply no reason for VW to keep going up, and the funds were willing to bet on it. So they shorted huge amounts of VW stock, borrowing it from existing owners and selling it into circulation, waiting for the price drop they considered inevitable.Porsche anticipated exactly this situation and promptly bought up much of these borrowed VW shares that the funds were selling. Do you see where this is going? Analysts did. According to The Economist, Adam Jonas from Morgan Stanley warned clients not to play “billionaire’s poker” against Porsche. Porsche denied any foul play, saying it wasn’t doing anything unusual.
But then, last October 26th, they stepped forward and bared their portfolio: through a combination of stock and options, they owned 75% of Volkswagen, which is almost all the company’s circulating stock. (The remainder is tied up in funds that cannot easily release it.)
To put it mildly, the numbers scared the living hell out of the hedge funds: if they didn’t immediately buy back the Volkswagen stock they were shorting, there might not be any left to buy later, and it isn’t their stock — they have to return it to someone. If their only option is thus to buy the VW stock from Porsche, then the miracle of supply and demand will hit again, and Porsche can ask for whatever price it wants per VW share — twenty times their value, a hundred times their value — because there’s no other place to buy. They’re the only game in town.
Gains
Porsche’s ownership disclosure sent the hedge funds on such a flurry of purchases for any Volkswagen stock still in circulation that the VW share price jumped from below €200 to over €1000 at one point on October 28th, making Volkswagen for a brief time the world’s most valuable company by market cap.On paper, Porsche made between €30-40 billion in the affair. Once all is said and done, the actual profit is closer to some €6-12 billion. To put those numbers in perspective, Porsche’s revenue for the whole year of 2006 was a bit over €7 billion.
Porsche’s move took three years of careful maneuvering. It was darkly brilliant, a wealth transfer ingeniously conceived like few we’ve ever seen. Betting the right way, Porsche roiled the financial markets and took the hedge funds for a fortune.
Thursday, May 2, 2013
What's a Bitcoin and why would you want one?
By Woody Leonhard
You
might have heard in recent weeks about Bitcoin millionaires — people who
raked in vast sums of real money riding this relatively new form of
currency.
Bitcoins offer both a
fascinating, new approach to money and many potential pitfalls. Here's
what you should know about this online phenomenon.
The history of
money is fascinating. Ancient humans traded salt for fish, wheat for
beer, and camels for wives. Around 9,000 BC, give or take a millennium
or three, people started using an intermediary object — something they
might not need but could exchange. For example, I'll take one bag of
rice for my duck; I'll give you a half-bag of rice for that small clay
pot or a whole bag for that big pot.
In Asia, cowry
shells (considerably easier to carry than bags of rice, no doubt) were
used long ago for bartering. But as trade expanded around the world,
more sophisticated forms of "currency" were needed: bronze-cast knives
in China, silver bars of set weights in Mesopotamia, gold bars in Egypt.
Around 700 to
500 BC, the first coins appeared — typically, stamped bits of naturally
occurring silver/gold metal called electrum. Minted coins followed,
their value dictated by the weight and fineness of gold or silver used.
Coins from Athens, Persia, and China circulated all over the world.
Around the 11th century, paper money appeared alongside coins in China. In Europe, the first paper money was a sort of IOU used to document loans in gold. The IOUs gradually formalized into official banknotes.
In the 17th
century, European governments (and much of the world soon after) moved
into the business of issuing paper money, backed by deposits of gold and
silver.
Skipping over
centuries of hyperinflation, bank runs, and the end of the gold
standard, we arrive at the monetary system in use today.
With the
exception of cash and trade, every monetary transaction we make today
goes through the same basic cycle: you offer to buy something with a
credit card or check, a central record-keeping organization verifies
whether you have sufficient funds or credit, the purchase is approved,
and the transaction is posted to your account.
All forms of
electronic money work the same way. You put through a charge using a
credit card online, or you receive or send money via PayPal, or you tap
your stored-value card or phone to make a payment. As long as you have
enough money or credit, you're good. The system works because the
currency used remains relatively stable.
Establishing an entirely different kind of money
Bitcoins are
currency, but they're unlike anything most of us use today. They're a
blend of new technology, old-style bartering, and free-market thinking.
Although completely electronic, a Bitcoin's value is set by the open
market — not by any government entity.
Like cash,
Bitcoin transactions are untraceable. If you want to transfer
significant amounts of money through traditional channels, it takes
either suitcases of cash or at least one intermediary bank — along with
all the required paper trails and fees. Not so with Bitcoins. Using some
cryptographic magic and extreme redundancy, the Bitcoin network
requires no central bank, no list of Bitcoin holders, nothing that can
trace a person to a specific transaction. If that sounds like an ideal
setup for money launderers, drug dealers, and/or fugitive prime
ministers, you're on the way to understanding the early attraction of
Bitcoins.
About four years ago, Bitcoins came to prominence as the preferred currency on the Silk Road website. As reported
by the Guardian and other sources, the majority of sales on Silk Road
involved drugs. Bitcoins made those transactions untraceable.
Today, Bitcoins
are undoubtedly used for less sordid transactions. But their fluctuating
value also gives them a commodity- or stock-like aspect. Through 2012, a
single Bitcoin's value grew from U.S. $5 to about $13. This year, a
Bitcoin cost $266 on April 10 and then fell to $125 the next day,
prompting the crash of the largest online Bitcoin exchange, the
Japan-based Mt. Gox (site).
When the exchange came back online a day later, Bitcoins hit a low of
$65. As I write this, a couple of weeks later, the value's almost
doubled to $120.
Now that's what I call volatility!
Nobody knows for
sure why the Bitcoin market soared, then crashed. One theory places the
blame on Cyprus's banking crisis, where thousands of bank accounts
received involuntary "haircuts" by a Cypriot government flailing for
cash. Panicked depositors ran for alternatives — among them, Bitcoins.
Others speculate that organized crime manipulated the market to buy low
and sell high. (On April 24, Mt. Gox was also hit by a massive
distributed-denial-of-service attack.)
Steve Forbes, no stranger to the subject of money and finance, put it succinctly in his op-ed article,
"Bitcoin: Whatever it is, it's not money!" He states that the Bitcoin
is too volatile to be "money" in any traditional sense of the term. "It
has no fixed value. It trades like a stock or commodity."
To Bitcoin
proponents, that's precisely the point. Bitcoins are kind of an
anarchist's version of cowry shells — not beholden to any government,
bank, political group, or individual trying to corner the market in a
specific commodity.
How a distributed-currency system works
As mentioned
above, Bitcoins are entirely electronic. At its heart, a Bitcoin is
simply a number — like the serial number on a banknote. To use a
Bitcoin, you sign in to your Bitcoin wallet,
stored either at an online service or in an application on your personal
computer or mobile device. The wallet shows your Bitcoin balances; it's
also where you get Bitcoin addresses (essentially separate accounts),
which you give to other Bitcoin users when transferring the currency.
According to the "How does Bitcoin work?" page, the system is somewhat like a distributed email network.
Bitcoins also
work somewhat like a typical online bank transfer but with important
differences. For instance, there's no bank-like clearinghouse for
Bitcoin transactions. Nobody has a list of all account numbers and
owners. There is, however, an ongoing list of transfers: which accounts
transferred how much to which other accounts. The list is public — it's
stored in hundreds of different locations, on hundreds of different
computers. (You can see every transaction going by in real time on Clark
Moody's site.) Who owns the accounts is, on the other hand, private.
The technical
details of Bitcoin transfers — how Bitcoins change ownership and how the
system prevents transferring the same Bitcoin twice — involve
public-key cryptography and some fancy computing techniques. Unlike a
bank, the Bitcoin network doesn't keep track of your Bitcoins — only
Bitcoin transactions. Which means you're responsible for protecting your
Bitcoin wallet.
When you ask
somebody to send money, you have to give them a Bitcoin address —
essentially an encrypted public key. The Bitcoin software actually
encourages you to generate a new address number for each transaction. If
you get money from one person and then send that money to someone else
using a different address, it's basically impossible for anyone other
than you to know where the money came from or where it went.
There's some
time delay on the transactions. Typically, it takes 10 minutes for
Bitcoin transfers to take effect. The reasons are complex, but they're
associated with preventing double spends —
trying to spend the same Bitcoin twice, either intentionally or
inadvertently. Since there's no central repository of accounts and
balances, the delay is basically the price you pay for having a whole
bunch of computers simultaneously verify the transactions.
If you're
accustomed to bank wire transfers taking an hour, a day, or even a week
to complete, 10 minutes doesn't seem like much of a hardship. And the
Bitcoin verification runs 24 hours a day, seven days a week on hundreds
of computers, making the system fairly reliable.
Incidentally,
the first widely recognized Bitcoin transaction was the purchase of two
pizzas. The buyer reportedly paid 10,000 Bitcoins — pricey even at early
Bitcoin rates.
Where Bitcoins came from; where they're going
Bitcoins have a
fascinating history. The originator of the concept, who went by the
handle "Satoshi Nakamoto," has never been identified. I say "went"
because Satoshi appeared out of the blue in 2008, published a few
papers, never made a public appearance, and stopped answering emails in
December 2010. However, the importance of Bitcoins doesn't rest in the
person or persons who created it. The creation itself holds the answers
to pressing money problems such as making private transactions without
resorting to piles of cash.
If you want to
keep your Bitcoin transactions private, there are two points of
vulnerability to online snoops: when you buy Bitcoins using some other
currency, and when you sell your Bitcoins. Once inside the system,
you're anonymous. In other words, when you use Bitcoins only to pay for
purchases, there's no traceable record. (One person recently sold his house with Bitcoins, another sold a Porsche.)
That obviously
presents a problem for law enforcement. Because Bitcoins make
investigations more difficult, law-enforcement agencies are leaning hard
— sometimes with sanctions, sometimes with legislation — on the Bitcoin
clearinghouses to provide information about transactions. Mt. Gox's
sign-up page
warns that if you try to access your account using the Tor network or
public proxy servers (two common means of disguising your location),
they might suspend your account and force you to submit
anti-money-laundering documents. (A bitcoin.org page, on the other hand, recommends using Tor to hide your PC's IP address.)
Today there are
approximately 11 million Bitcoins in circulation. The system is
designed to let the number of Bitcoins increase at a very slow rate — by
2140, there should be about 21 million Bitcoins in circulation. If you
want to learn more about Bitcoins, take a look at the official Bitcoin FAQ.
Bottom line:
If you do become a Bitcoins user, keep in mind that the value of your
Bitcoins can change rapidly and unpredictably. Whenever someone asks me
whether I'd buy Bitcoins right now, my answer is a resounding "Hell no!"
It's an interesting concept — a currency not tied to any country or
financial institution — but the recent run-up and decline of Bitcoin
pricing give me nosebleeds. Put your savings in Bitcoins, and you might
make enough money to retire in the next year. Or you could lose 90
percent of your gamble — er, investment.
Tuesday, April 16, 2013
What are the best examples of people "cheating the system"?"
I
learned this one from a friend's mom: How to get cheap long term
parking at an airport by parking in an airport hotel garage... make sure
the garage has a maximum fee for lost parking ticket, park your car and
take the airport shuttle to and from the airport. Upon returning from
your trip pick up your car and pay the lost ticket fee (usually like
$20-30 total vs $15 - 20 / day)
Wednesday, November 7, 2012
Stretching postage dollars
A
friend of mine used to have many Pen Pals when we were younger. At some
point he started to send letters without a stamp, by writing the
intended recipient's address as the sender's address, and his own as the
intended recipient. The letters would then be delivered to the real
intended recipient because the post office thought the recipient was the
sender who forgot to put a stamp.
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